Monday, May 07, 2012

Epic Journey or Grand Delusions [127/365]

Starting today, facebook [fb] will go public.
Valued at $90 billion and set to mop up as much as $20 billion, this IPO is touted as one of the largest IT IPO's ever,  and is hoping to have dream run at the boroughs.

Judging by several factors, buying stock in facebook could easily be one of the best things you can do. Considering how it's grown in just eight years, learning from the mistakes of it's predecessors - Orkut, MySpace - facebook now has a worldwide community that rivals any of it's compatriots.
To a layperson like you and me, buying a facebook stock makes as much money-sense as tanking up on the night before the fuel prices go up.

Is the Facebook IPO really what it is made out to be?
Are we really witnessing the rise of a giant or another bubble about to go bust.

First the facts:
Facebook has the largest online population of humans. Ever. Infact if facebook was to become a country, it will be the third most populous in the world. And growing.

Owner and founder, Mark Zuckerberg is the youngest billionaire in the world. With an estimated net-worth of $17.5 billion, this IPO will make him the richest human being in history. The flip side is that he ends up paying almost 80% of what he will earn from sale of his share of stock mandatory taxes in the United States. And yes, of course the fact that he can get fired too.

And now, for the reality:
Can you really trust an IPO which is being advertised as the biggest thing that will ever be, where the founder/owner chooses when and how much he/she needs without considering how that extra $ will add to the value, is like playing Russian Roulette.

Facebook is Zuckerberg and Zuckerberg is Facebook.
Simple. $20 billion is the price we pay to be able to access 900 million users. And sources say Zuckerberg will still retain his 57% voting stake in the company. Voila!

Notorious for the way he's handled his company and his rivals so far, what remains to be seen is how much power will he relinquish when it goes public.

While the company itself is profitable, this alone cannot guarantee a golden egg for its eternity. Analysts will tell you that it's revenue has fallen in the past couple of years. And Mark knows this. He acquired Instagram, an online photo editing software company, for a whooping $1 billion dollars a few weeks ago. Speculations ran thick and wild on why a company like facebook would buy a startup with just a handful of people for such an amount, but the fact is that this acquisition has only sweetened the deal for facebook.

Lastly and most importantly, no one can really tell how or why internet companies reward themselves a billion dollar price tag. While facebook's business model is extremely robust, it's valuation is something that may need closer scrutiny.
Nonetheless, IPO's are about optimism, and facebook has certainly drummed up enough supporters to feel good about it's IPO.

Considering how big this IPO has been in the news, I would take Warren Buffet's word when he says 'I think the worst mistake you can make in stocks is to buy or sell based on current headlines'


Sunday, May 06, 2012

Review: Vicky Donor [126/365]

Movies are a wonderful thing.
They entertain you. And then they also make you introspect. They can touch a chord in your heart and if that chord is a raw one, then you'll end up in deep thought.
Vicky Donor is one of those movies which will touch you. This movie touched a very personal chord in our hearts.
source: Wiki

We managed to watch the movie in a theater that was half empty and half filled with men with overflowing testosterone, who hooted and whistled every time the heroine appeared onscreen.

Vicky Donor is produced by John Abraham, and if you haven't figured it already from the movie posters, is about sperm donors, infertility and a funny yet serious look at the stigma surrounding it.

Ayushmann (Vicky Arora) is the only son of his widowed mom who runs a beauty parlor. The movie revolves around how a reluctant Vicky is convinced to become a sperm donor to supplement his family income and gradually is able to afford all the luxuries that his family desires. Everyone makes a ton of money. Enter Ashima Roy (Yami Gautam), a bank employee and they find themselves falling in love with each other and marry inspite of the fact that Ashima is a 'Bong' and Vicky is a 'Punjabi'. A short honeymoon and one intense love making scene later, they realize that she is infertile and cannot conceive. Meanwhile, Vicky still hasn't told his wife that he was a sperm donor and all hell breaks loose when she does find out. He is arrested on suspicion of black money and she walks out of his home.

The movie cannot be the greatest movie I've seen by any stretch of imagination. It is very mediocre and Dr Baldev Chadha's (Annu Kapoor) obsession with the word 'sperm' can make you squirm after the 15th time. He seems to have a sperm souvenir of every possible kind - as a paper weight, stress buster, in the car, on the desk and every poster in his clinic. How many doctors do you know carry around a souvenir of their specialty everywhere and in everything they carry. I am not a huge fan of Punjabi Hindi, so the fact that almost the entire movie is in Punjabi Hindi is a little distracting.
The jokes appear contrived and very dry. There is only so much 'bong' and 'punjabi' jokes that you can take, you see.
Ayushmann is intense and quite convincing at times, but for a debut, he did a pretty decent job.Yami is eye candy and very into the character and redeemed the movie towards the end. No item numbers, thankfully.
The supporting cast is wonderfully fresh and actually does an incredible job. 

Now, for the pertinent question- Would I recommend this movie?
Maybe, with the following disclaimer:
Don't go into the theater expecting fireworks, because this has none.
No John Abraham. So that rules out any eye candy for the women. And gay men. 
This is a time-pass movie.
One that you would go to watch when you don't get a ticket for the Avengers or if you don't have anything else more meaningful to do.

My Rating: 7

What does the ratings mean?
0-4  : Not worth your presence in the same zip code as the TV/Theater.
5-7  : Err... the movie is pretty, but it's definitely missing something. A storyline, that is.
8-10: 'Drop-the-dishes, stop-the-sex, jaw-dropping, that-is-incredible' 2 hours of movie experience


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